Step 1 score predictor reddit. Personally I was predicted at 234 and got a 231 so I was decently close for an average person. Just wanted to know whether this is a uniform opinion or some people getting unlucky with difficult forms. Hey med student familia. If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step1/wiki) as it has a lot of valuable information regarding advice and approaches on taking Step 1, along with analytical statistics of study resources. NBME 21: 241 (most recent) I guess it over predicts. Definitely can, you're gonna do great. upvotes ·comments. 5% correct) Damn !! 263 after 6 months - thats impressive. Edit: If anybody is stalking this, got a 260 in the end. Going to keep this short and simple. UWSA2 on the the other hand predicted exactly my real exam score, that’s the only accurate predictor. (keep in mind the equated percent correct, which I’m planning to take STEP1 in mid May . Award. don't go through the mind shattering anxiety i went through test date : 4/14 us md or us img or non-us img status: non us img from costa rica baby step 1: i haven't taken step 1. 30>29>26>27>28>25. Based predictmystepscore. Members Online NBME 29: 58% (210), NBME 30: 55% (216) - 10 days out. Aspiringdoc92. . is there any latest one though ? also if my NBMEs are in 210s. nbme 18 predicted me exactly. If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step1/wiki) as it has a lot of valuable information regarding advice and approaches on taking For instance, say the predicted score, based on the average of UWSA1 & 2, is 243. Thanks, how close was your uwsa2 score to the actual score? got 260 on uwsa2. 49K subscribers in the Step2 community. Actual STEP 2 score: 245. I had 61 wrongs and by the formula given on google the Hello everyone, I will be giving step 2 next week. Over the last few months I collected quite a bit of data, and now I can officially say that the Score Predictor is complete. Feee120 is not predictive. I am planning on taking some old NBMEs such as 18 and 24 before since I know both are good predictors, I know there's an excel sheet but wanted to know where the most updated one is and also if there will be an updated one for the new NBMEs, which might be hard since most of the people who take the new NBMEs won't be testing till Tell me if I am using the score predictor right. Much love <3. • 5 mo. Its certainly possible, but its not guaranteed. I tweaked the excellent step 1 score predicting spreadsheet that u/b1ta made in a few ways to help me de-stress for my upcoming test. 84% on f120, 236 real deal. It is not designed as a scalar for comparison, hence the 8 point SD (32 point 95% confidence interval is fucking insane). Not a lot to go on. "Predicted: Actual: ±SD: ". • 3 yr. And I feel like the predictor often over predicts on the lower end of the scale, and is more accurate for the 240+ scorers because there is definitely a skew on reddit. 58 (CI 225-255) Step 1 date: 02/16/2021. Enter the quarter that you have taken the shelf in next to the score box. IMG who just got a passing score a few days ago. Dedicated has put me at my paces but I’m wondering how close the Predictor was for people. 43 Actual 250. It seems like lately, a lot of people are getting scores that are way less than UWSA1/2 and the predictor. I agree with above comment that it doesn’t predict accurately for lower scores (190s-200s). Step 1: 267 Uworld % correct: 83% first pass NBME 9,10,11,12 = All 263-268 (took them offline) UWSA 1: 263 (3 months out after first pass uworld) UWSA 2: 269 Free 120: 85% AMBOSS SA: 253 (6 months out, before starting uworld) Predicted Score: 266 Actual STEP 2 score: 270 Grateful for this community!! Step 1: Pass Uworld % correct: 76% (made it thru 50% of uworld, first pass) NBME11: (25 days out, no prep before) 223 NBME12: (21 days out) 224 NMBE13: (14 days out) 246 NBME14: (5 days out) 249 UWSA 1: (10 days out) 246 UWSA 2: (2 days out) 250 New Free 120: (3 days out) 78% Predicted Score: 250 last time I checked Total Weeks/Months Studied The Score Predictor tool is designed to support users' studies, providing them with an estimation of their exam performance. 08 (date adjusted - 238. still have to do UWSA2. So I have heard really confusing things about the new step 1 forms- (Very conceptual, long question stems, scoring 10 points less than the predictors). Took Step1 in August 2019. (yes i took step 2 first, and no i didn’t need step 1 knowledge for it). Exam itself ended up feeling that way and I felt I'd be above my predicted score. Choose the 2019-2020 predictor, download it and plug in your scores. you are a demigod for helping. PREDICT ME. I would stick to utilizing NBMEs and UWSA as predictors of your score than the running total of Rx/Uworld Want to know what your actual Step 1, Step 2 or Step 3 score will be? Expected Step 1 Pass NBME 27 . Actual Score: 247! New NBMEs are gold, perfect representation of step 1. 0 comments. r/Step2. 97-98%. i know there’s an excel sheet but I’m very confused on how to work it! my % correct is 87%, so if anyone can convert it for me, that’d be a huge help! There's this post that gives you the excel sheet you mentioned, and based on the line of best fit for the NMBE 120 and 87% correct, that would work out to be about a 248! (rounded up from New Score Prediction Spreadsheet : r/step1. Predicted me at 2 point over what I got so def pretty accurate imo. KingofMangoes • 3 yr. NBME 20 (Early March) = 232. Hey all, I just got my score today (12 days after I took the exam!) and got a 244 ! My uworld and nbmes were all over the place, so hopefully this will help some of you who also don't quite know where you land. NBME 17: 250. They have space to enter your nbme exams, shelf exams, UW%, UW self assessments, etc. I remember that the predictor definitely wasn't helpful for me during my pre-dedicated period. Members Online A P is possible for lazy girls who don't wake up at 6am. Score predictor: 237. I know this is silly, but I really didn't understand how to use the score predictor. 75% equated percent correct, 99% chance of passing. Hi all, I used the existing score predictor files and updated them to incorporate the formulas from all 3 years of surveys for which there were formulas (2016-2018). Step 1 2021 Score Predictor. The points are exactly on the trend line. Step 2 result 258🎊. and I also wanna know how reliable it is with the present senario. /r/MCAT is a place for MCAT practice, questions, discussion, advice, social networking, news, study tips and more. Reddit Predictor: 240. People have been paid h with low assessment scores but we won’t know how close to the score predictor they came because no scores are given anymore. Nope just found this digging through google. Just creating a thread to share scores and subsequently check scores after exams for future use. So 240+ maybe. Corollary 2: A predicted of 240 is AMBOSS: 259 (Took one block a day) NBME 18: 234 - a week before AMBOSS. The predicted score was actually 2 points With our cutting-edge algorithm, you'll get a personalized score estimation tailored to your strengths and weaknesses. 5 months back Nbme 11 to 14 all within 258 to 264 given in last 4 weeks Uwsa 1 261 6 weeks back Will give uwsa2 in few days If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step1/wiki) as it has a lot of valuable information regarding advice and approaches on taking Step 1, along with analytical statistics of study resources. com, reddit. also got like 1 hour of sleep before exam which couldve impacted performance. Just wanted to add my story to those who found their Step 1 score much lower than their Uworld scores. Reddit Sheet: 247 REAL DEAL: 247 Score predictor 95%CI was 246-255 Reply reply karateenabsorber UWSA1 and Step 1 score correlation help! // USMLE Step 1 is the first national board exam all United States medical students must take before graduating medical school. Ive taken NBME 18, 21, 22, 23, 24, and UWSA 1My lowest score was a 173 and my highest score was a 187. I take step on Tuesday, mine says a 239 but I think that’s too high honestly (goal score is over 220, dream score 230s) Yeah definitely more accurate than the nbmes. Total Weeks/Months Studied: 3 mos but kind of 2 since I got very little in during a 1 mo sub-I. And percentiles are based on the performance of people doing the Qbanks, they have no relation to the Reddit score predictor for step 1 Hi! i wanna know if anyone can tell me about this score predictor. Members Online Got that W 🤓 5/14 Predict my step was accurate for both step 1 and step 2 for me; for step 2, also, the 2019 spreadsheet predicted me exactly when I put in my shelf scores Prediction based on Old and new free 120. My 82% gave 99% passing probability. There's obviously a lot of people to thank for this - so kudos to those involved with generating and analyzing the i_likepesto. If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step2/wiki) as it has a lot of valuable information regarding advice and approaches on taking Step 2 CK, along with analytical statistics of study resources. Don't focus on the predictivness of the free120s unless it's above 90% or below 60%. If you have not taken the shelf, leave the value as "1,2,3, or 4" do not enter "0" into this box. I hear UWSA 2 has been the best predictor overall with plenty of people falling within 1-3 points of its score. Don't let mcat scores define who you are and what you are capable of. • 1 yr. 4 Use Reddit predictor Google Sheets(2019-2020) Sound okay? I feel like multiplying AND using the predictor is inflating my score big time! Also, I noticed that not all the NBMEs have a score graph. How can you possibly fail your practice scores and still be predicted to pass the real thing? Reddit predictor 100% accurate :P. Below are my practice tests (all 1 week apart) as well as some short thoughts . Nope. UWSA2 is a good predictor for most, but can still overpredict or underpredict for quite a few people. I took it offline, and scored 139/200 (69. Take it easy tonight. Nbme 25 : 235 ( 5 weeks out ) Nbme 26: 230 ( 3 weeks out ) UWSA 2 : 251 ( 3 days out ) Free 120 : 88% ( 2 days out ) UWORLD first and only pass : 81% Predictmyscore : 248. Tests Anyways, I got my score back and it translated to around 205-210. The goal of this thread is to provide a central location for score prediction instead of having users submit individual posts. “'You could choose just AMBOSS and you could make it through and do well on all your exams”. like if its still reliable or outdated. 2. Users should ensure they are adequately prepared before deciding to proceed with the actual exams. Predicted 257, real 252. No offline conversion is currently available because of the limited availability of the form in offline sources and the limited AMBOSS Score predictor tool. Probably better idea with more tests using the score predictor though, the one at the top of this thread predicted me within 3 points. Multiply by 1. Reply reply Maybe it was accurate like 5 years ago when the exam was easier and only the SDNers and redditors knew to pound UFAP into the ground for maximum success. NBME 29 was ok but it had a few vague/misleading questions which were weird af. 01/21/2021 - 197 NBME 22. Score predictor was 238/9, real score 236, so not exactly but definitely within the CI and very helpful!!! If you all dont mind, please list your predicted score based on all assessments inputted into the website with your actual step score. 46) Actual score: 231 (6/19/20, literally exactly average on the score report) Hopefully this helps some people. It’s not accurate for lower scores lol. If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step2/wiki) as it has a lot of If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step1/wiki) as it has a lot of valuable information regarding advice and approaches on taking Step 1, along with analytical statistics of study resources. The R-squared value R 2 is always between 0 and 1 inclusive. r/step1. Posted by u/Diligent-Profit3723 - 2 votes and 14 comments 29-30-28-26 was what I have followed . OFFICIAL SCORE RELEASE THREAD 14/02/2024 Test date : US MD or US IMG or Non-US IMG status: For IMGS: YOG Step 1: Uworld %… If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step2/wiki) as it has a lot of valuable information regarding advice and approaches on taking Step 2 CK, along with analytical statistics of study resources. The #1 social media platform for MCAT advice. 73% on free120, 251 on step. Anybody know how accurate their score predictor for Step 2 is? I’m not asking the self assessment score, this is specifically a score predictor. READ THE RULES BEFORE POSTING USMLE Step 2 CK is the second national board exam all United States medical students must take before graduating medical school. not sure about its predictiveness, but I remember getting 1 or 2 exactly the same question on my real deal. thanks in advance. ago • Edited 2 mo. UWorld over-prediction for Step 1 solidarity. Just looking for the answers. If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step1/wiki) as it NBME 13: 257. I took 6 months to prep for it, after taking Step 2. From what I've seen, several people with 200-210 NBMEs ended up right around 230 on here and SDN. 📝 Step 2. NBME 26 . Predict. The MCAT (Medical College Admission Test) is offered by the AAMC and is a required exam for admission to medical schools in the USA and Canada. I can't find a good score predictor. 10 votes, 26 comments. ADMIN MOD. Predicted Score: N/A Total Weeks/Months Studied: 1-2 months Actual STEP 2 score: 253 Felt terrible leaving the exam, thought I did much worse than my practice exams. 15 Step 1 : 249 My scores are higher but predictmyscore had me on the same score as you with a wider CI , I don’t know how they calculate it but it’s magic lol Predicted Score: 244 Total Weeks/Months Studied: 7 months including a 6 week gap after NBME 11, had a family emergency Actual STEP 2 score: 260 I’m not sure how I did it, studying for this one was very inconsistent. Look at your UWSA 2 instead ! IMHO 30 seemed to be the best, the curve is a little forgiving and the questions aren't that vague. Perfect positive linear association. Thank you! Did you ever find nbme 31 score converter. UWSA 2: 230. The content is also pretty different in my opinion, because at least with step, you are learning content in class and while self-studying and you can actually apply Quick rules of the road: Shelf exam scores should be entered as raw scores, if you have not taken a shelf, enter a "0" for that score. NBME 25 . Surprisingly close, within 1 point for me. Highest NBME was 29: 267, lowest was 27: 253, actual step: 269. Ermahgerd_Jern_Sner. i wanted to vote for both the score predictor being predictive and that the new NBMEs are shit lol. Predicted: 225 +/- 8. Once you get consistent scores on three of them, you're good to go. Additionally, please use the 2019-2020 score predictor found here and contribute to the 2020-2021 survey found here. If we want a scalar exam, then we need to design a scalar exam. Go to step1. Sucks that you didn't get any sleep before your exam but congrats on an awesome score despite that! READ THE RULES BEFORE POSTING! // USMLE Step 1 is the first national board exam all United States medical students must take before graduating medical school. No practice test is perfect but it’s about the best we got. still. 13 & 14 as well as uw3. These days it seems like a much better predictor of scores is the NBMEs. I think 240+ is safe but honestly depending how close to your exam this is, I think 250+ is reasonable with a shot at 260 if you get a favorable form on exam day. 1,139,430. It measures the proportion of variation in the dependent variable that can be attributed to the independent variable. 26 votes, 64 comments. 00. CBSSA is just the name of the Step 1 practice exams, the other named ones that start with C refer to Step 2 and Step 3 practice exams. I personally found the free 120 very doable - (Scored an 88%), so pretty anxious about Add a Comment. I got 77 on new free 120 and 228 on NBME 7 and 244 on UW1. MCAT is designed as a scalar for comparison. My score predictor had me 245+ and I just took step. However, it should not be the sole determinant in deciding whether one is ready to take the exams. NBME 19: 259. UPDATE: Added FL4 and updated with most recent data linked. AMBOSS becomes your go-to point-of-care tool with expanded clinician features for clerkships and residency. i have my assessment scores and i wanna see if i can find out a possible prediction for the real score. Practical-Pen-7348. I plan to use Zanki + Qbank much more consistently for this semester up until I take Step 1 in in May. Corollary 1: To ensure safely reaching target score, one's predicted would be 13 points above target. If your NBMEs put you at 210s-220syou can hit that 230 if you have a good calm testing day ( based on this subreddit) I got 72% on Free 120 today and am 17 days out from Step 1. ago. i did 15 and 16 as DIAGNOSTICS so those scores I am not gonna count because it was over 3 months ago before I did any dedicated prep but both were 240s. 25-30 New Nbme score thread and its accuracy. NBME 15 (Early April) = 248. Simply plug in the scores you got on the AAMC material and it will tell you what each individual product predicts you will get on the relevant section of the MCAT. But I have heard no new form are predictive . As a Canadian who’s already matched to a Canadian residency program and who was just looking to pass, I’m very pleased with my result. 5%). AMBOSS SA: 234 (155 days out) baseline before starting studies. The 2019 Reddit predictor had me at a 234 (95% CI 218-249) Reply reply 2019 predictor: 230 Last 7 blocks predictor: 233 Actual Step 1 score: 236 Reply reply i did international foundations of medicine and got an excellency certificate which meant i had good clinical foundations. Decently accurate for me. Amboss score: 263 (92. Specifically, nearly everyone coming on here with 265+ NBME scores is able to do really well on the real deal. Hopefully that holds true for me lol or even just in the ballpark would be fine. NBME27 is easy and not predictive. Actual STEP 2 score: 248. New NBMEs are shit and nothing like the real deal. 92, for what that’s worth to you. Need advice on what to do in last week and my predicted score. A person who scored on Amboss a week before the test is different than one who finished it before dedicated started. NBME 18: 265. Uworld % correct: Did not do. I have started working on a calculator for predicting 3 digit score based off of total number of questions missed (% correct). My highest nbme was like 9 points lower than my actual score. com is? There was but there was some drama around it and it’s been removed. do step 1 first. so very relieved with my score! Probably should've dedicated more time to prep. Is there an updated excel sheet score predictor with NBME 25-30? If not, anyone have any feedback on how accurate they think predictmystepscore. 13. The score predictor over-predicting by 5 points, but well within the overlap of the standard deviation. Step 1: Pass. Last year I posted a survey regarding an updated USMLE score predictor that would utilize the new NBME forms (20-24). Sort by: drwhitecoatz. Predicted Score: 230. You should be focusing on NBMEs 29,30,31 as they are more predictive. •. Is this a new trend or is it just selection bias from this subreddit? People who received your scores recently, please post your UWSA1/2/predicted vs your actual score! around 82-83%. I say 'at least 10' in the post title bc the 13 is an estimate. Had some scary family issues, lost motivation, and as you guys can see mg practice scores didn’t come close to my actual. NBME 25-30 Score Prediction. I took NBME 27 offline a few days ago without revising any of the systems . 48 ± 5. Free 120: 68%. It also creates summary metrics to give you the most accurate prediction of your score. com, and usmle-forums. nbme 16 was 3 pts high. Give the NBME Find score on 200. Disclosure: Non U. I was fairly happy with that since I haven't actually started any kind of major test prep other than sporadic qbank questions and anki use during each of my modules. NBME 21 (End March) = 240. Step 1: PASS Uworld % correct: 78 NBME 9: 5 weeks out 236 NBME10: didn’t take NBME11: 3 weeks out 251 NBME12: 1 day out 259 NMBE13: 2 weeks out 254 NBME14: 3 weeks out 251 UWSA 1: pre study so probably 7 weeks out, 220 UWSA 2: 4 weeks out 248 New Free 120: 2 weeks 92% CMS Forms % correct: 80% avg Predicted Score: 262 The platform includes a question bank that covers 100% of USMLE and NBME® exam content, plus didactic features to hone your exam-taking skills. I hated NBME questions and the curves and just prayed the real deal would be like UWorld. UWSA 2 (End of April) = 260. Step 1 (none of the steps) should be scored. Uworld % correct: 75%. Sort by: Informal-Spite-8962. predicted 260, actual 260. Predicted 259, actual 259. Electrical-Act-2752. UWSA1-269 UWSA2- 256 Real deal-256. I got 11 points less than what the predictor said, yes it fell in the predicted range but only because the range is huge (28 points). 1. Does anyone have a link for the most updated score predictor. Everyone will get 50% right. Ok I know the score predictor exists but I really would like some real person advice/guidance. Average for NBME 26-30 was like 261, so they underpredicted by 8 points. 100% do not feel like i got a 220. Share. Then 90% of the time, the CK score will fall within 230 to 256. It currently has me at a 253. S. Predictors for almost any resources are inaccurate as everyone has different study schedules. With old forms being discontinued, form 24 will only grow in popularity moving forward. If you enter 77% for the free 120 on the score predictor sheet it predicts 234. Although RX is a great tool to use prior to dedicated, it is kind of just an assessment of how much do you remember First Aid. There is a game of 5-7 questions in each block so focus on those 7 questions and try to get 27/40 instead of all 40/40, particularly for step 1. In general UWSA1 strongly over predicts, UWSA2 should be pretty close if you take it close to the exam. ago • Edited 1 yr. com post and compiled them into one giant algorithm to help you correlate clinically your practice scores and your actual score. Yet the 2019 score predictor has me at 211. It already seemed to have pretty solid predictive utility but I thought I could jazz it up and possibly make it a tiny bit more precise/accurate. First of all my scores are terrible. Hoping to not increase panic for those of you still to test, but to add to the data set. // USMLE Step 1 is the first national board exam all United States medical students must take before graduating medical school. So not crazy high or anything (you need more correct for the UWSA1+2 to achieve the same score) Use it as encouragement, (I liked to see if I could make it go up) but not for its predictiveness (that was my approach) This was literally 1 or 2 months before Step. New Step1 Score Predictor using 2016, 2017, and 2018 survey data. READ THE RULES BEFORE POSTING USMLE Step 2 CK is the second national board exam all United States medical…. the predictor puts me in late 220s and early 230s. — This is just what I wish I knew, and my opinion only. AMBOSS % correct 58%. It's more predictive than anything. My pal got a 76 and failed the real exam. the amboss score predictor has all nbmes incl. We've gathered data from almost every studentdoctor. By analyzing your practice test scores, difficulty levels, and timing, we provide you with an accurate prediction that empowers you to make informed decisions about your study plan or whether you need to delay or not. updated score predictor spreadsheet. Plus we use data contributed from students like you! NMBE13: 216 ( 30 days out, burnt out on surgical sub-I) UWSA 2: 222 ( 40 days out) New Free 120: 73% ( 2 weeks out) CMS Forms % correct: 69% (average of 3 IM CMS Forms) Predicted Score: 238 +/- 14. NBME 16 (Middle April)= 244. predicted +/- 247, actual 252. I took my NBME 7,9,11, and 15. First-pass UW: 61% NBME 9: 214 UWSA 1: 201 NBME 10: 212 NBME 11: 217 NBME 12: 231 UWSA 2: 218 Predicted Score: 236 +/- 14 (Exam in 11 days) I would personally be ecstatic with 230+ but I don’t want to delude myself if it’s inflated compared with the If you are viewing this on the new Reddit layout, please take some time and look at our wiki (/r/step1/wiki) as it has a lot of valuable information regarding advice and approaches on taking Step 1, along with analytical statistics of study resources. Predicted:250. I haven't used the latest predictor, but prior versions put me within 2 points of my real score. 84% on it and 257 on the real exam 3 days later. Right above where you can, "Create Post" there's a link that says "Score Predictor". Was wondering if anyone knew how much % of passing that would be too. Nbme 9 250 3 months back 10 256 nbme 10 2. any help is much appreciated. I haven't passed a single NBME. I scored in the 240s. READ THE RULES BEFORE POSTING USMLE Step 1 is the first national board exam all United States medical students must take before graduating medical school. Reply. Just found out about this calculator, so don’t know if it’s new or This is the exact reason why Step 1 P/F is a good thing. NBME 30 . If you wanna mention your real scores please do. US MD or US IMG or Non-US IMG status: Non-US IMG. UWSA 1 (Mid March) = 262. I did 6 nbmes total and plugged those into the calculator (along with my score on the free 120) and it predicted me at a range that included my actual score (iirc the range spanned like 7 or 8 points and I scored in the middle low end of that). necranam. OFFICIAL SCORE RELEASE THREAD 12/13/2023. 3/3. Things I wish I knew before taking my Step 1. Here is a link to the tool. So In nbme, I did not focus on the questions which I don't know completely therefore I got more time on questions that can be right after a little more thinking. My 69% gave 97% COP. Couldn't resist doing the self-assessment. I took the mcat twice (505, then 509), and managed to still somehow get slightly above average on step 1 (237). Correlation r = 1; R-squared = 1. Actual: 217. Have to say that it felt really similar to the real deal. hi sf id zw af ug bk dr mz gd